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- 💸 #0055 - The Bond Market’s Quiet Betrayal
💸 #0055 - The Bond Market’s Quiet Betrayal
Rising yields are sinking bonds. Inverse ETFs turn that pain into profit.
⚡ LIGHTNING ROUND
📉 Downgrades Bite: U.S. debt is no longer untouchable — yields are climbing, demand is fading.
💸 Safe ≠ Safe: A 1% jump in long yields can sink long bonds by 10–15%.
🦊 What Pros Do: Hedge funds aren’t holding Treasuries, they’re flipping them with inverse ETFs.
🔒 The Catch: Inverse ETFs aren’t forever holds. They’re tactical weapons, built for windows of volatility.
🚪 Your Way Out: If the old 60/40 playbook is cracking, you don’t have to stay trapped in it.
WEEKLY WISDOM
“The myth of the invulnerable U.S. Treasury and, by extension, the unshakeable dollar is being tested in real time.”
INVESTING TIPS & OPPORTUNITIES
When “Safe” Stops Being Safe
For 40 years, U.S. Treasuries were the safest game in town.
The thing you bought when you wanted to sleep at night.
But what happens when the world stops showing up to the auction?
The Downgrade Nobody Wants to Talk About
Moody’s just downgraded U.S. debt. Fitch already did it last year.
Why? Because interest payments are exploding.
By 2028, Washington will spend more paying interest than on defense.
That’s not a typo.
When debt costs eat the budget, investors demand higher yields.
And when yields rise… bond prices fall.
Your “safe” bond fund quietly bleeds.
A 1% jump in long-term yields can wipe out 10–15% of a 20-year Treasury.
Put $10,000 in the “safe” play… and suddenly it’s $8,500.
The Hidden Consequence
Most retirement portfolios still run the 60/40 playbook—60% stocks, 40% bonds.
It worked for decades because bonds used to hedge stocks.
But now?
Both sides of that portfolio can lose at the same time.
Stocks wobble when rates go up.
Bonds sink when nobody wants them.
The foundation of the system starts to crack.
Keep holding those bonds and you’re not just treading water.
You’re funding Washington’s debt spiral with your retirement.
What the Pros Are Doing
When Treasuries wobble, most people freeze.
They do nothing.
They sit in their “safe” bond funds, watching red numbers bleed across the page.
But here’s the thing: wealthy investors don’t play defense like that.
They don’t just accept the hit.
They flip it.
Behind closed doors, portfolio managers and hedge funds are already making a different move.
They’re not buying 10-year Treasuries at 4%.
They’re betting against them.
How?
With Inverse Bond ETFs
These funds (TBT, TMV, others) are the insider’s insurance policy.
They’re like shorting Treasuries without needing a hedge fund, a prime broker, or a million-dollar margin account.
Every time yields tick higher, these ETFs pay out.
Every downgrade, every weak Treasury auction, every Fed hint at “higher for longer”…
…is an opportunity to turn the thing crushing everyone else into a profit stream.
That’s the difference between the sheep and the fox.
The sheep take the hit.
The fox finds the hedge.
Why You Haven’t Heard This
Because the old advice of “just keep buying your 401(k) bond fund” keeps Wall Street rich.
It keeps fees flowing.
It keeps you in the dark.
But the rules changed.
And if you’re still playing last decade’s playbook, you’re already behind.
The Play
Recognize the shift. Treasuries are no longer guaranteed safe havens.
Understand the hedge. Inverse bond ETFs exist to profit from rising yields.
Use them tactically. Short bursts, specific windows—like rate hikes or credit downgrades.
The pros know this.
Now you do too.
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The content provided in this newsletter is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as specific advice for any specific individual. The information is prepared by knowledgeable individuals and is not written by certified tax professionals or investment advisors. For personalized advice tailored to your unique financial situation, consult with a qualified tax professional, financial advisor, or attorney.
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